This calculator provides a concise projection of EV battery life and health. It returns an estimated service life in years, the expected mileage until replacement and a year by year State of Health trajectory. Use it to compare degradation scenarios and to plan replacement timing. Keyword: EV battery life.
Table of Contents
Input parameters
- Battery capacity — total pack energy in kWh.
- Annual mileage — average kilometers driven per year.
- Energy consumption — kWh per 100 kilometers, actual vehicle consumption.
- Depth of discharge DoD expressed as percent of full capacity used per typical cycle, for example 70 percent.
- Full equivalent cycles to end of life — approximate number of full cycles before the pack reaches end of rated cycle life.
- Starting SOH — current State of Health in percent, usually near 100.
- Critical SOH — threshold percent at which replacement is planned, for example 72 percent.
- Annual calendar degradation — average percent loss of SOH per year when idle or under normal use.
What the calculator computes
- Annual energy demand in kWh per year based on mileage and consumption.
- Equivalent full cycles per year derived from energy throughput and DoD.
- Years limited by cycle life using the declared cycles to end of life.
- Years limited by calendar degradation derived from annual SOH loss.
- Estimated service life equal to the smaller of the two limits, cycles and degradation.
- Projected kilometers to replacement, expected replacement year and SOH at replacement.
- A simple year by year SOH profile and a horizontal indicator showing resource decline over time for quick visualization.
Key formulas
Annual energy
$$
E_{year} = Mileage_{year}\cdot \frac{Consumption}{100}
$$
Energy per full equivalent cycle
$$
E_{cycle} = Capacity\cdot DoD
$$
Full cycles per year
$$
Cycles_{year} = \frac{E_{year}}{E_{cycle}}
$$
Years limited by cycles
$$
Years_{cycles} = \frac{Cycles_{total}}{Cycles_{year}}
$$
Years limited by degradation
$$
Years_{deg} = \frac{SOH_{start}-SOH_{crit}}{Deg_{year}}
$$
Expected service life
$$
Years_{expect} = \min(Years_{cycles}, Years_{deg})
$$
Kilometers until replacement
$$
Mil_{replace} = Years_{expect}\cdot Mileage_{year}
$$
Worked example with new numbers
Example inputs
- Capacity 75 kWh
- Annual mileage 12 000 km
- Consumption 16 kWh per 100 km
- DoD 65 percent
- Full cycles to end of life 1 800
- Starting SOH 99 percent, critical SOH 73 percent
- Annual degradation 1.8 percent per year
Step one, annual energy
$$
E_{year} = 12\,000\cdot \frac{16}{100} = 1\,920\ \text{kWh}
$$
Step two, energy per full cycle
$$
E_{cycle} = 75\cdot 0.65 = 48.75\ \text{kWh}
$$
Step three, cycles per year
$$
Cycles_{year} = \frac{1\,920}{48.75} \approx 39.4\
$$
Step four, years by cycles
$$
Years_{cycles} = \frac{1\,800}{39.4} \approx 45.7\ \text{years}
$$
Step five, years by degradation
$$
Years_{deg} = \frac{99-73}{1.8} \approx 14.4\ \text{years}
$$
Step six, expected life is the minimum
$$
Years_{expect} = \min(45.7,14.4) = 14.4\ \text{years}
$$
Step seven, kilometers until replacement
$$
Mil_{replace} = 14.4\cdot 12\,000 \approx 172\,800\ \text{km}
$$
Summary of the example
- Annual energy about 1 920 kWh
- Full cycles per year roughly 39
- Service life limited by calendar degradation about 14.4 years
- Expected distance until replacement about 172 800 km
- Estimated used cycles at replacement about 568 cycles which is well below declared cycle limit
Additional practical guidance and calibration tips
- Battery chemistry matters. LFP packs usually tolerate deep cycles and show slower calendar fade, NMC and NCA packs offer higher energy density but may age faster under fast charging stress.
- Both calendar and cycle ageing contribute. High average state of charge and repeated fast charging amplify calendar fade and bring forward replacement.
- Adjust DoD and annual degradation in the model if you have logged telematics. Real data makes projections far more reliable than generic defaults.
- Cell balancing and a robust battery management system reduce capacity spread between modules and extend useful life. Monitor cell voltage drift and internal resistance when diagnosing packs.
- For fast charging heavy users, increase annual degradation estimate by 0.5 to 1.5 percent per year depending on charge power and thermal management quality.
- Consider secondary uses before disposal. Even after reaching critical SOH a pack may retain value for stationary energy storage or less demanding applications.
| Parameter | LFP (LiFePO₄) | NMC (Li-Ni-Mn-Co) | NCA (Li-Ni-Co-Al) | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Typical energy density, Wh/kg | 90–160 | 150–220 | 200–260 | Higher density usually trades off with cycle life and thermal sensitivity. |
| Cycles to ~70% SOH | 2,000–5,000 | 1,000–3,000 | 800–2,000 | Range depends on DoD, C-rate and temperature history. |
| Calendar degradation, % / year | 0.5–1.5 | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–3.5 | Higher average SOC and temperature accelerate calendar fade. |
| Recommended daily DoD (practical) | 20–90% | 20–80% | 20–80% | LFP tolerates deeper cycles better; limiting DoD extends cycle life. |
| Fast-charge tolerance | Good | Moderate | Lower | Fast charging increases stress; thermal management mitigates impact. |
| Temperature sensitivity | Low | Moderate | High | High temperatures amplify both calendar and cycle aging. |
| Typical usable capacity fraction per full cycle (DoD) | 0.6–1.0 | 0.5–0.8 | 0.5–0.8 | Defines energy per full equivalent cycle used in lifetime models. |
| Common end-of-life threshold | 70–80% SOH | 70–80% SOH | 70–80% SOH | Industry commonly uses 70% as economic replacement point. |
Practical notes and cautions
- Use both cycle limited life and calendar degradation to produce conservative plans. Take the smaller result as the planning horizon.
- Do not rely solely on age or odometer reading to judge pack health. Capacity tests and internal resistance measurements are more informative.
- When possible, obtain BMS logs to measure actual equivalent cycles, charge power distribution and temperature history for an accurate prognosis.
- Apply sensitivity checks. Recalculate with slightly higher degradation and slightly higher DoD to understand worst case service life.
- Factor in software updates. Firmware changes can influence charging curves, thermal management and therefore long term degradation.
📉 All estimates are approximate. For investment decisions and replacement budgeting validate projections with manufacturer guidance and actual battery diagnostics.
Suggested reading
- Battery Management Systems by Gregory L. Plett
- Electric Vehicle Battery Systems by K.T. Chau and C.C. Chan
- Battery Technology Handbook by H.A. Kiehne
- Energy Storage edited by Robert A. Huggins

